by adminnot | Feb 26, 2010
Speaker: Reyhaneh Reyhani
Affiliation: Computer Science Department, The University of Auckland
Title: A general model for effects of polls on voters’ behaviour
Date: Thursday, 4 Mar 2010
Time: 3:00 pm
Location: Room 401
The influence of pre-election polls on the result of an election is a problem that many authors have discussed. In this talk, we investigate this problem with a general model for m candidates under the plurality rule. Voters cannot be completely sure about the result of polls because of coverage bias or response bias. Therefore, we consider a general distribution of uncertainty in each poll for voters. We discuss the best strategy of voters according to the information that polls give them and how the sequence of polls leads voters to a unique equilibrium. We deduce a Duvergerian equilibrium in the limit in some cases. This is joint work in progress with Javad Khazaei and Mark Wilson.
by adminnot | Jan 26, 2010
We are now reachable at cmss.auckland.ac.nz. The acronym in the domain name should be obvious, but we will wait until it is officially confirmed before posting about it.
by crus754 | Mar 19, 2009
Modelling Health Care: Combining real-world data in an “expert system” to test policy scenarios
Peter Davis, Director, COMPASS
There is increasing interest in the application of computational techniques in the social sciences, particularly in the area of modelling social processes. We present preliminary work in building a micro-simulation model of the system of decision-making in health care in the community whereby people experience illness and go to the doctor, who then responds. We combine data from different sources to give this model a solid base in the “real world” and we test it against external data. Policy scenarios are foreshadowed. There are major opportunities for collaborative work across disciplinary boundaries.
Note: COMPASS (www.compass.auckland.ac.nz) is a research group at UoA that uses quantitative, computational techniques in social sciences. The main purpose of this talk is to explore collaborative possibilities between the two groups.
by adminnot | Feb 23, 2009
Welcome to the site for the Computational Social Science Group at the University of Auckland.
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